Montenegro vs Armenia — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Montenegro's games keep turning into open ones, and that is the case here. They have had 3 or more goals in 9 of their last 14 games, and the last 5 meetings with Armenia averaged 4 goals in total. Montenegro have won all three of their Nations League games, 2-1 at Latvia, 3-2 at Armenia and 2-1 against Cyprus. They let in a goal in every one. They are no scoring machine. They manage just over a goal a game and they let in almost 2 a game, which is the mix that produces busy, untidy football. Armenia are the soft side at the back. They let in more than 2 goals a game and they have lost 11 of their last 14 games. They did score twice in Yerevan when these two met on 28 September, a 3-2 with goals at both ends. Montenegro will miss Sead Haksabanovic and Adam Marusic through injury, which does not help them control a game. Both teams are back out after only three days of rest, and tired defending usually helps the goals along. We read this as 2-1 Montenegro, with Armenia getting on the board again, and that is enough here. The caution is Armenia on their travels. They have scored only four goals in their six away games in this run, so a flat night from them could keep this low. We still want the goals.