Indonesia vs Thailand — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.25: Games between these two give you goals. Their last 9 meetings have averaged almost 4 goals in total, and 7 of those 9 had 3 or more goals in them. Thailand are the main reason to expect more of the same. They have won 6 of their last 7 away games, scoring more than 3 goals a game. They rested most of their first team for a dead game against the Philippines and lost it 2-1. Those regulars all come back for this final. Indonesia will have a go at this too. They score almost 2 goals a game, and more than 2 a game at home, where they have won 6 of their last 9. Thom Haye is available again after his suspension, which helps them keep the ball and get up the pitch. Indonesia also let in more than a goal a game, and 8 of their last 15 games had 3 or more goals in them. A full house in Jakarta should make for a lively start. We read this as a 1-2 Thailand win, and that clears this pick. The worry is that finals often tighten up. Indonesia were held to a 0-0 by Malaysia in the group, so they can keep a big game quiet. A tight 1-0 either way would beat this. We still want the goals here.