Honduras vs Jamaica — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.25: These two met a week ago and Honduras won it 1-0, and this one has been a quiet matchup for years. The last 8 meetings between them averaged 2 goals in total, and only 3 of those 8 had 3 or more goals in them. Honduras are very hard to score against on this ground. They have won 6 of their last 8 home games and let in less than a goal a game there. Jamaica are missing a big chunk of their attack. Leon Bailey is out with an ankle problem, along with Andre Brooks and Keinan Davis, and Renaldo Cephas is a doubt. Jamaica do not need to open up to get what they want either. They have won 6 of the last 8 meetings with Honduras, so a tight game suits them fine. Their games average more than 2 goals in total, and only 5 of their last 14 had 3 or more goals. We read this as a 1-1, and that sits on the right side of this pick. The warning is the shape Honduras are in. They were beaten 1-2 in Martinique on 3 October and 2-3 at home by Suriname on 26 September. Their defence has been leaking, and if that carries into this one the goals come quickly. We still expect a tight, low scoring game.