Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis — Tips & Analysis

Cuba -0.5: Cuba are the steadier team here and they have the tighter defence of the two. They have not lost in their last five games, going 3-3, 2-0, 3-0, 1-1 and 2-2. They let in just over a goal a game across their last 17. Cuba have won 6, tied 6 and lost 5 of those 17 games, and they score more than a goal a game. St. Kitts and Nevis are far more open. They score almost 2 goals a game but let in more than 2, and on their travels it gets worse. They let in more than 3 goals a game away from home and have lost three of their last five away games. This one is at the Hasely Crawford Stadium in Port of Spain, so neither side is at home. That takes Cuba away from the ground where much of their record was built. Even so, Cuba should hold the ball for long spells against a team happy to swap goals. We read this as a 2-1 Cuba win, which is enough for this pick. The warning is fresh. These two tied 3-3 only three days ago, and in their last 3 meetings Cuba have won 1, tied 1 and lost 1. St. Kitts will get chances. Cuba are still the better side here and we are with them.