Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: Both teams come in short of attacking help, and that is the case for a quiet night. Poland are without Robert Lewandowski, who is suspended and has already left camp. Bosnia are starting again without Edin Dzeko, who played his farewell game, and Kerim Alajbegovic is hurt too. These two met in Poland ten days ago and finished 0-0. Bosnia are built to grind. They have tied 7 of their last 16 games, and at home they have won 4, tied 2 and lost 1, letting in a goal a game. Poland have been patchy on their travels, losing 4 of their 7 away games in this run. The last 3 meetings between them averaged 2 goals in total, so there is no history of fireworks here either. Both sides play a third game in eight days on three days of rest, and tired legs tend to make games slower, not wilder. We read this as a 1-0 Bosnia win, decided by one goal and short of clear chances. That keeps the total down. The honest worry is Poland's last outing. They put six past Romania three days ago, so a team that has just found its shooting boots could break this open even without its main striker. Both sides still have promotion and relegation to play for, which could push one of them forward late. We still want the low-scoring game.