Wales vs Denmark — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Both sides need this game, and that is where the goals come from. Wales sit bottom of the group on goal difference, level on 3 points with Denmark and Norway, so they cannot sit back and protect anything. Denmark bring goals with them. 11 of their last 16 games had 3 or more goals, and they score just over 2 goals a game on the road. They also let in almost 2 a game away from home. Denmark also lost 2-4 at home to Portugal on Thursday, which tells you how open they can be. Wales are missing a lot of people. Harry Wilson, Joe Rodon, Nathan Broadhead and Rubin Colwill are all out. A patched up back line against a Danish side that scores plenty is not a recipe for a quiet night. Wales do score at Cardiff, almost 2 goals a game overall, and they beat Norway 2-1 there on 1 October. A 1-2 away win looks the likeliest finish, and that is enough for us. The caution is real though. Wales have lost all four recent meetings with Denmark and scored only one goal across the four, so this pairing has served up some tight, dull nights. Only 7 of Wales's last 15 games had 3 or more goals. We still want the busier game here.