Turks and Caicos Islands vs British Virgin Islands — Tips & Analysis

Under 3: Neither of these teams can score, and that is the heart of this one. British Virgin Islands have not scored in their last three games. They lost 0-2 to Montserrat, 0-3 to Turks and Caicos and 0-3 at Montserrat, and they manage a goal a game at best. They defend reasonably well too, letting in under 2 goals a game, so their games stay small. Their games have under 3 goals in them on average. Turks and Caicos are no better in front of goal. They score just over a goal a game, and they were beaten 0-2 at home by Montserrat on 23 September, so they can go quiet too. The rest gap favours the hosts. Turks and Caicos have had 5 days off and the visitors only 3, so the home side should be the one controlling this rather than chasing it. One goal from a set piece or a mistake looks like it will decide the game. A 1-0 to Turks and Caicos is the likeliest finish, and a game of that shape never gets busy. The risk sits in the head to head. The last five meetings averaged just over 3 goals, and two of them finished 2-2, so one early goal each way would change the whole story. Turks and Caicos do let in more than 2 goals a game, so they are not watertight either. We still expect a tight, low scoring night.