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Portugal vs Norway — Tips & Analysis

UEFA Nations League
Portugal
Portugal
WLWDW
2nd in UNL
2-1
Mon 5 Oct, 01:45 ICT
Norway
Norway
WLWWL
1st in UNL
📍 Estádio do Dragão
⭐ Our Pick
⭐ Star PickAsian Handicap✅ Won
Portugal -0.5@1.8
Confidence68%
18+ · T&Cs apply
Why we like this pick
Portugal -0.5: Portugal have already beaten this Norway side, winning 2-1 in Oslo on 27 September. They have been perfect in the group, taking 9 points from 3 games with a goal difference of plus four. They also put four past Denmark away on Thursday. Portugal have won 10 of their last 16 games, they score more than 2 goals a game, and they have lost once in their last nine at home. Norway are hurting. They have lost three of their last four, they sit third in the relegation play-off place, and Torbjorn Heggem is suspended after his red card at Wales. Norway have also stopped making chances. In their last two games they created less than a goal's worth of openings. Ronaldo has left the camp, but Goncalo Ramos has scored in back to back games and Portugal have not looked like they miss him. The Dragao will be loud and Norway have to chase the game, which is exactly how Portugal like it. A 2-1 home win is the likeliest finish, and that is all we need. Norway are still dangerous. They score just over 3 goals a game and have won 5 of their 6 away games, so Portugal cannot switch off at the back. We are with Portugal to win this one.
Recent Form
Portugal5W 2D 1L
W1-0vs Wales (H)24 Sept 26UEFA Nations League
L0-1vs Spain (H)6 Jul 26World Cup
W2-1vs Croatia (H)2 Jul 26World Cup
D0-0vs Colombia (A)27 Jun 26World Cup
W5-0vs Uzbekistan (H)23 Jun 26World Cup
D1-1vs Congo DR (H)17 Jun 26World Cup
W2-1vs Nigeria (H)10 Jun 26Friendlies
W2-1vs Chile (H)6 Jun 26Friendlies
Norway5W 1D 2L
W3-2vs Denmark (H)24 Sept 26UEFA Nations League
L1-2vs England (H)11 Jul 26World Cup
W2-1vs Brazil (A)5 Jul 26World Cup
W2-1vs Ivory Coast (A)30 Jun 26World Cup
L1-4vs France (H)26 Jun 26World Cup
W3-2vs Senegal (H)23 Jun 26World Cup
W4-1vs Iraq (A)16 Jun 26World Cup
D1-1vs Morocco (A)7 Jun 26Friendlies
Form Stats
PortugalPortugal
NorwayNorway
1.63
Avg scored
2.13
0.63
Avg conceded
1.75
50%
Over 2.5
88%
50%
Both score
100%
38%
Clean sheet
0%
25%
Failed to score
0%
Head-to-Head
Norway
1 - 2
Portugal
27 Sept 2026 · UEFA Nations League
UEFA Nations League Standings
#TeamWDLGDPTSForm
1France00000
2Türkiye00000
3Italy00000
4Belgium00000
1Greece100+13W
2Germany01001D
3Netherlands01001D
4Serbia001-10L
1Czechia00000
2Croatia00000
3Spain00000
4England00000
1Norway100+13W
2Portugal100+13W
3Denmark001-10L
4Wales001-10L
1Switzerland00000
2FYR Macedonia00000
3Scotland00000
4Slovenia00000
1Northern Ireland00000
2Ukraine00000
3Hungary00000
4Georgia00000
1Austria100+23W
2Kosovo100+13W
3Rep. Of Ireland001-10L
4Israel001-20L
1Sweden00000
2Poland00000
3Romania00000
4Bosnia & Herzegovina00000
1Albania00000
2Belarus00000
3San Marino00000
4Finland00000
1Armenia00000
2Latvia00000
3Montenegro00000
4Cyprus00000
1Slovakia00000
2Moldova00000
3Faroe Islands00000
4Kazakhstan00000
1Estonia00000
2Iceland00000
3Bulgaria00000
4Luxembourg00000
1Luxembourg00000
2Cyprus00000
3Kazakhstan00000
4Finland00000
1Malta100+13W
2Gibraltar00000
3Andorra001-10L
1Lithuania100+23W
2Azerbaijan00000
3Liechtenstein001-20L
Team Sheet
Norway4-2-3-1 · 👔 S. Solbakken
13Selvik
5Wolfe
4Østigård
3Ajer
7Aursnes
6Berg
8Berge
20Nusa
10Ødegaard
21Schjelderup
9Haaland
1Costa
19Mendes
13Veiga
3Dias
20Cancelo
6Palhinha
8Fernandes
23Vitinha
14Conceição
11Félix
9Ramos
Portugal4-1-3-2 · 👔 Jorge Jesus
Match Events
⚽Kristoffer Ajerassist Martin Odegaard
36'
João Canceloassist Nuno Mendes⚽
38'
Gonçalo Ramosassist Joao Felix⚽
79'
Francisco Conceicao🟥
86'