Kosovo vs Austria — Tips & Analysis

Kosovo +0.5: Kosovo are very hard to beat at home, and that is the heart of this pick. They have let in just three goals across their eight home games, winning five of them. Austria are a different team away from Vienna. Their road record reads 3 wins, 2 ties and 4 losses, and they score just over a goal a game on their travels. At home they score more than 3 a game, and that is where their big numbers come from. Austria's last two results flattered them as well. They scored five goals between the 3-1 against Kosovo and the 2-2 in Dublin without creating much. Both attacks are short for this one. Vedat Muriqi missed Kosovo's 0-0 in Israel with a muscle injury and is a doubt, and Austria look likely to be without Michael Gregoritsch and his ankle problem. Kosovo sit three points behind Austria with a promotion play-off place at stake. They will set up to make Pristina awkward rather than chase the game, which suits us. A tight 1-1 is the likeliest finish, and that is enough here. The risk is the obvious one. Austria won the meeting in Vienna 3-1 only a week ago, and they have won by 2 or more goals in 6 of their last 16 games. If they click again, Kosovo have to score to stay in it. We are still backing the hosts to hold them.