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Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands — Tips & Analysis

CONCACAF Nations League
Bahamas
Bahamas
LLLLL
2-3
Mon 5 Oct, 03:00 ICT
US Virgin Islands
US Virgin Islands
LWWLW
📍 Bethlehem Soccer Stadium
⭐ Our Pick
Asian Handicap↩️ Push
US Virgin Islands -1@1.7
Confidence52%
18+ · T&Cs apply
Why we like this pick
US Virgin Islands -1: US Virgin Islands have already beaten this team, and the reason is simple. Bahamas cannot defend. They have lost all of their last 5 games and they let in more than 4 goals a game. The damage comes in bulk too, with an 0-8 against Saint Martin on 23 September and an 0-6 against British Virgin Islands. Across their last 19 games Bahamas have won 1 and lost 16, and 11 of those losses were by 2 or more goals. US Virgin Islands are nothing special, but they do not need to be. They won this same meeting 3-1 on 29 September. They score more than a goal a game and let in just over 2 a game. Every recent meeting between these two has been open, with the last three finishing 1-3, 3-1 and 3-3. All three had four goals or more in them. So expect Bahamas to get on the scoresheet and still get beaten, because they cannot keep the ball out. A 3-1 win for US Virgin Islands is the likeliest finish. The real worry is the visitors themselves. They were hammered 0-5 by Saint Martin on 1 October, and they barely score on their travels, under a goal a game across nine trips. They have also won by 2 or more goals in only 3 of their last 18 games. We still side with US Virgin Islands. The defending they are up against is the worst thing on the pitch.
Recent Form
Bahamas0W 0D 8L
L1-3vs US Virgin Islands (A)29 Sept 26CONCACAF Nations League
L0-8vs Saint Martin (H)23 Sept 26CONCACAF Nations League
L0-1vs Cayman Islands (A)30 Mar 26CONCACAF Series
L1-3vs Anguilla (H)26 Mar 26CONCACAF Series
L0-6vs British Virgin Islands (H)15 Nov 25CONCACAF Series
L1-2vs Anguilla (H)12 Nov 25CONCACAF Series
L0-8vs Costa Rica (H)7 Jun 25World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
L0-6vs Grenada (A)4 Jun 25World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
US Virgin Islands3W 1D 4L
L0-5vs Saint Martin (H)1 Oct 26CONCACAF Nations League
W3-1vs Bahamas (H)29 Sept 26CONCACAF Nations League
W2-0vs Saint Martin (A)26 Sept 26CONCACAF Nations League
L0-2vs Puerto Rico (A)29 Mar 26FIFA Series
W5-2vs American Samoa (H)25 Mar 26FIFA Series
L1-4vs Grenada (A)15 Nov 25Friendlies
D1-1vs Turks and Caicos Islands (H)14 Aug 25Friendlies
L1-3vs Bahamas (A)13 Oct 24CONCACAF Nations League
Form Stats
BahamasBahamas
US Virgin IslandsUS Virgin Islands
0.38
Avg scored
1.63
4.63
Avg conceded
2.25
88%
Over 2.5
63%
38%
Both score
63%
0%
Clean sheet
13%
63%
Failed to score
25%
Head-to-Head
US Virgin Islands
3 - 1
Bahamas
29 Sept 2026 · CONCACAF Nations League
Bahamas
3 - 1
US Virgin Islands
13 Oct 2024 · CONCACAF Nations League
US Virgin Islands
3 - 3
Bahamas
4 Sept 2024 · CONCACAF Nations League
Team Sheet
US Virgin Islands4-3-3 · 👔 Terrence Jones
1ramos
5shaffer
14Q.Farrell
2Blaschka
11J.Ramos
19Liburd
8Bass
7Griffith
16A.Bartsch
9joseph
20henry
23lowe
7carey
8rahming
17Chemaly
12Cooper
5bayles
2wells
16Carroll
10joseph
20bain
11adderley
Bahamas4-2-3-1 · 👔 G. Noel-Williams
Match Events
⚽naqwan henryassist Jannick Liburd
30'
🥅Omar Chemalyown goal
35'
🟥rakeem joseph
45'
⚽naqwan henry
52'
william bayles⚽
58'
Peter julmispenalty⚽
90+2'
How the Match Went
BahamasBahamas
US Virgin IslandsUS Virgin Islands
61%
Possession
39%
28
Shots
8
4
Shots on target
6
11
Corners
3
13
Fouls
13
3
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
1
2
Offsides
0