Iceland vs Bulgaria — Tips & Analysis

Iceland -1: Iceland are the better side here, and they meet a Bulgaria team in a mess. Bulgaria have no permanent manager and are without Ilia Gruev, Filip Krastev and Stanislav Shopov. They have scored once in their two Nations League games, a 0-0 with Estonia and a 1-2 loss to Luxembourg. That leaves them bottom of the group on one point. Iceland are going the other way. They won 3-0 in Luxembourg in their last game and lead League C Group D on four points from two. They score almost 2 goals a game and have won by 2 or more goals in 4 of their last 13. Bulgaria give plenty away at the back. They let in just over 2 goals a game and have lost by 2 or more goals in 6 of their last 16. Expect Iceland to hold the ball in Reykjavik and feed Orri Oskarsson and Andri Gudjohnsen, with Bulgaria sitting deep and trying to keep the score down. A 2-0 for Iceland is the likeliest finish, and a two-goal win is what we want here. The catch is that Iceland have won only one of their six home games in this run, so a big home win is not routine for them. They are also missing Sverrir Ingi Ingason and Arnor Sigurdsson, and two more are doubtful. Iceland still look too strong for this Bulgaria side.