Estonia vs Luxembourg — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.25: Neither of these sides can score, and that is the whole case for a quiet night in Tallinn. Estonia have let in just one goal across their two Nations League games, a 0-0 at Bulgaria and a 1-1 in Iceland. They also kept clean sheets in both of their 1-0 home wins earlier this year. The trouble is at the other end too. Estonia score less than a goal a game, and only 8 of their last 18 games had 3 or more goals. Luxembourg are just as poor on the road. They have scored less than a goal a game across the seven away games in this run, and they arrive without Danel Sinani and Christopher Martins. Their games have just over 2 goals in them on average, and only 6 of their last 14 had 3 or more. Two weak attacks and two careful back lines point to a scrappy game with very few clear chances. Neither side will push men forward until the closing stages. A 1-0 to Estonia looks the likeliest finish, and one goal is enough for us. The honest worry is that Luxembourg do score on their travels, with a 2-1 win at Bulgaria and a 2-0 at Malta in this run. Their team news is unclear as well, so the missing men may yet play. We still want the low-scoring game here.