Poland vs Romania — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Romania cannot keep a clean sheet, and that is the main reason we want goals in Warsaw. They have let in at least one goal in each of their last five games, including four at home to Bosnia & Herzegovina and two in Sweden. Poland are open too. They let in close to 2 goals a game in this run, and 10 of their last 16 games had 3 or more goals. Romania are just as busy. Their games average more than 3 goals in total. They score more than 2 goals a game, but two big wins over San Marino lift that number. The group table pushes the same way. Romania sit bottom on zero points, so a quiet night in Warsaw is no use to them. They have to come forward, and that leaves gaps against a Poland side who have lost twice in nine at home. Poland have gone five games without a win and badly want this one, so they will have a go as well. A 2-1 Poland win is the likeliest result, and that gets the bet home. The caution is Poland's flat spell in front of goal. They tied 0-0 at home with Bosnia in this same group, and they let in just over a goal a game in Warsaw. So they can keep a game quiet once they lead. We still want the busier game here.