Kazakhstan vs Moldova — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.25: Neither of these sides can score, and that is the simple case for a quiet night in Astana. Moldova have not won in 17 games. They get under a goal a game in away games and have won just one of their last seven on the road. Kazakhstan are hardly better going forward. They score just over a goal a game. A 4-0 win over Liechtenstein made up half of their home goals in this run, so the rest has been thin. What Kazakhstan do have is a tight back line. They have let in under a goal a game in their home games. They have not lost in their last four at the Astana Arena, keeping three clean sheets. The history between them says the same thing. All three meetings so far were decided by a single goal, and those games averaged under 2 goals in total. Both teams sit on one point, with Moldova bottom of the group, so they will try to keep this small. A 1-0 Kazakhstan win is the likeliest result, and that lands the bet with room to spare. The catch is that Kazakhstan need this win badly and will have to come forward to get it. Moldova have let in close to 3 goals a game in this run, so one early goal could stretch the game open. We still want the low scoring game.