Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden — Tips & Analysis

Bosnia & Herzegovina +0.25: Sweden are a completely different team away from home, and that is the heart of this pick. On the road they have won just 1 of 7 games, scoring only just over a goal a game and letting in more than 2. Now they travel without Alexander Isak and Emil Holm, so their first choice striker is gone. Bosnia are strong at Bilino Polje. They have won 4 and tied 1 of their last 6 at home, score almost 2 goals a game there and let in 1 a game. Their whole squad is fit. Edin Dzeko also plays his last game for his country here, and a captain's send off in front of a packed home crowd lifts a team. Sweden do arrive in form. They top the group on 6 points after beating Romania 2-1 and Poland 3-1. Both of those wins came in Stockholm though, and this is a straight fight for first place. Both teams played four days ago, so expect a tight, scrappy game rather than an open one. A 2-1 Bosnia win looks the likeliest outcome, and that is all we need. The one worry is how often Bosnia end up tying games. They have tied 6 of their last 16, including 1-1 at home to Italy. We are still with the home side here.