Wales vs Norway — Tips & Analysis

Norway -1: Norway are a much better team than Wales, and Wales are in no state to stop them. Wales have not scored a goal in this group. They lost 0-1 in Portugal and 0-2 in Denmark, and they sit bottom with no points. Craig Bellamy is without seven players through injury, including Harry Wilson, David Brooks, Rubin Colwill and Joe Rodon. That takes out most of his creative players and two centre backs. Norway have won 11 of their last 14 games and have not tied once in that run. They have won all five of their away games. On the road they score more than 2 goals a game and let in under a goal a game. Erling Haaland leads a direct front line against a Welsh back four already short of bodies. Wales are in the relegation place and have to chase the game, so gaps should open late on. Norway have won by 2 or more goals in 6 of their last 14. The most likely single score is a 1-2 Norway win. That is only a one-goal game, so we need Norway to add a second. Wales taking risks is how that extra goal arrives. The warning is real. Alexander Sorloth is out and Martin Odegaard is an ankle doubt, which thins the help around Haaland. Norway have also let in a goal in each of their last four games. We still want Norway to win this by a clear margin.