Malta vs Gibraltar — Tips & Analysis

Gibraltar +1.5: Malta do not win games by a big margin, and that is the whole case for Gibraltar. Malta have not won by 2 or more goals in any of their last 13 games. They score less than a goal a game and have 7 goals in 13 competitive matches. At home it is even thinner, with less than a goal a game across their last seven. Gibraltar cannot score either. They have 5 goals in 14 games and manage less than a goal a game. They have lost 10 of their last 14 and have not won away in seven. So this points to a cramped, slow game decided by one moment. Gibraltar held Andorra to a 0-0 tie on Sunday. Malta won 2-1 in Andorra to open the group, and they have had seven days of rest against Gibraltar's four. That should be enough for Malta to edge a 1-0 win, which is the most likely score and keeps us on the right side. Now the honest part. Gibraltar let in more than 2 goals a game on the road and have lost by 2 or more in 5 of their last 14. Malta also beat them 1-0 and 2-0 in the last two meetings, so a second goal is not out of the question. We still expect Malta to win small, and that is why we are with Gibraltar.