Israel vs Kosovo — Tips & Analysis

Kosovo -0.25: Kosovo are the better organised team and Israel are falling apart at the back. That is the case here. Israel have lost 10 of their last 16 games and let in more than 2 goals a game. They have been beaten by 2 or more goals in 8 of those 16. Every decent side they have met lately has beaten them heavily: 0-3 against Ireland, 1-3 in Austria, 0-3 to Italy and 0-5 against Norway. They have also lost five of their eight games in Debrecen, letting in more than 2 goals a game there. Kosovo have won 10 of their last 16 and let in just over a goal a game. They have won five of their last eight on the road, which is the part that matters most here. Israel sit bottom of the group with no points and a goal difference of minus five, and Ireland took them apart 3-0 on Sunday. Kosovo will still have to break down a desperate opponent. We read this as a 1-2 Kosovo win in an open game rather than a controlled one. There are things to watch. Israel get Sayed Abu Farchi back up front after a ban, and the two previous meetings were close, 1-0 and 1-1. Kosovo were beaten 3-1 in Austria last time out, so they are far from perfect. Kosovo are still the side we want.