Denmark vs Portugal — Tips & Analysis

Portugal -0.25: Portugal have better players almost everywhere on the pitch, and that is the main reason we are on them. They have won 10 of their last 16 games, tying 4 and losing 2. They score more than 2 goals a game and let in 1 goal a game. Denmark are solid but not in that class. They have won 6 of their last 16, with 5 ties and 5 losses, scoring almost 2 goals a game and letting in more than a goal. Parken is where Denmark are at their best. They have lost one of their last seven there and let in less than a goal a game at home. Denmark also sit third in the group on 3 points, behind Portugal on 6, so they cannot sit back and defend all night. That suits Portugal, who punish teams that come out. Denmark are without Patrick Dorgu, who picked up a muscle problem, and Albert Gronbaek is missing too. We read this as a 1-2 Portugal win, with chances at both ends. The last three meetings between these two produced more than 4 goals a game. There is a real catch. Denmark beat Portugal 1-0 in Copenhagen in March 2025, and a packed Danish defence can turn this into a one-goal game either way. Portugal's shape up front is also unclear. We still want Portugal to come through here.