Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein — Tips & Analysis

Under 3: Liechtenstein barely score, and that alone keeps this game quiet. They have 3 goals in 13 games and were shut out in ten of them. With one team not scoring, a high-scoring night needs Azerbaijan to run riot on their own. They are not that side. Azerbaijan have won once in their last 13 games, with 4 ties and 8 losses, and they score a goal a game. Even at home they stay under 2 goals a game. Azerbaijan have won by 2 or more goals in only 1 of their last 13. Both teams look high scoring on paper, and that is misleading. Their big totals come from heavy beatings by far better sides, 0-6 to Sweden, 0-5 to Iceland and 0-7 to Belgium. Azerbaijan do not carry that kind of attack. Expect slow possession against a deep Liechtenstein block in Baku, with any goals coming from pressure rather than from an open game. Liechtenstein have had seven days of rest to Azerbaijan's four, so they should have the legs to hold their shape. A 2-0 Azerbaijan win is the most likely score, and that sits comfortably on our side. Here is the honest risk. Liechtenstein have lost by 2 or more goals in 10 of their last 13. They have let in 7, 6, 5, 4 and 4 goals in games in that run. We still expect a slow, low-scoring night in Baku.