Thailand vs Vietnam — Tips & Analysis

Vietnam +0.5: Vietnam are the better team here, and that is the case for backing them. They have won 12 of their last 15 games, tied 2 and lost only 1. They let in less than a goal a game across that run. They have had the better of these meetings lately too, winning 3 of the last 4, including 2-0 in Thailand in August. Thailand are dangerous as well. They score more than 2 goals a game, they put four past Pakistan on matchday one, and they have won 11 of their last 16. This game is played at a tournament ground, so neither side is at home and Thailand get no crowd behind them. On neutral ground Vietnam are the stronger side. Both teams sit on three points, with Thailand ahead only on goal difference, so a tie does neither of them real harm. The last 13 meetings averaged just over 2 goals in total, which tells you how these nights usually go. A 1-1 tie is the most likely finish, and that is enough for us. The one real worry is Vietnam's attack. They have lost Xuan Son for the rest of the tournament, and that costs them a key attacker. Thailand have also won by 2 or more in 9 of their last 16 games, so they can win this outright. We still want Vietnam to come through this without losing.