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Spain vs Croatia — Tips & Analysis

UEFA Nations League
Spain
Spain
WWWWW
3rd in UNL
4-1
Wed 30 Sept, 01:45 ICT
Croatia
Croatia
LWWLW
2nd in UNL
📍 Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
⭐ Our Pick
Asian Handicap✅ Won
Spain -1.75@1.71
Confidence52%
18+ · T&Cs apply
Why we like this pick
Spain -1.75: Spain are in outstanding form, and they win by clear margins. They have won 13 and tied 2 of their last 15 games, with 5 straight wins behind them. They have won by 2 or more goals in 8 of those 15. Spain score more than 2 goals a game and barely let anything in. Croatia have won 11 of their last 16, but the football behind that is not as strong as the results. They have been letting in fewer goals than their play deserves, and scoring more than their chances deserve too. Runs like that cool, and Spain are the worst side to face when they do. Croatia are also missing Martin Erlic, Josip Juranovic and Martin Baturina. Luka Modric and his midfield will spend long spells chasing Rodri and Fabian Ruiz. These two do not play quiet games either. The last 7 meetings averaged almost 4 goals in total, with a 5-3 and a 6-0 among them. Spain should control the ball, lead before the hour, and add a second once Croatia have to come out. A 2-0 Spain win is the most likely score, and this wants Spain to push past that. The catch is Croatia's stubbornness. They have lost by 2 or more only twice in their last 16 games, and Spain let in 2 goals against England three days ago. We still back Spain to win this well.
Recent Form
Spain7W 1D 0L
W1-0vs Argentina (H)19 Jul 26World Cup
W2-0vs France (A)14 Jul 26World Cup
W2-1vs Belgium (H)10 Jul 26World Cup
W1-0vs Portugal (A)6 Jul 26World Cup
W3-0vs Austria (H)2 Jul 26World Cup
W1-0vs Uruguay (A)27 Jun 26World Cup
W4-0vs Saudi Arabia (H)21 Jun 26World Cup
D0-0vs Cape Verde Islands (H)15 Jun 26World Cup
Croatia4W 0D 4L
L1-2vs Portugal (A)2 Jul 26World Cup
W2-1vs Ghana (H)27 Jun 26World Cup
W1-0vs Panama (A)23 Jun 26World Cup
L2-4vs England (A)17 Jun 26World Cup
W2-1vs Slovenia (H)7 Jun 26Friendlies
L0-2vs Belgium (H)2 Jun 26Friendlies
L1-3vs Brazil (A)1 Apr 26Friendlies
W2-1vs Colombia (A)26 Mar 26Friendlies
Form Stats
SpainSpain
CroatiaCroatia
1.75
Avg scored
1.38
0.13
Avg conceded
1.75
38%
Over 2.5
75%
13%
Both score
75%
88%
Clean sheet
13%
13%
Failed to score
13%
Head-to-Head
Spain
3 - 0
Croatia
15 Jun 2024 · Euro Championship
Croatia
0 - 0
Spain
18 Jun 2023 · UEFA Nations League
Croatia
3 - 5
Spain
28 Jun 2021 · Euro Championship
Croatia
3 - 2
Spain
15 Nov 2018 · UEFA Nations League
Spain
6 - 0
Croatia
11 Sept 2018 · UEFA Nations League
UEFA Nations League Standings
#TeamWDLGDPTSForm
1France00000
2Türkiye00000
3Italy00000
4Belgium00000
1Greece100+13W
2Germany01001D
3Netherlands01001D
4Serbia001-10L
1Czechia00000
2Croatia00000
3Spain00000
4England00000
1Norway100+13W
2Portugal100+13W
3Denmark001-10L
4Wales001-10L
1Switzerland00000
2FYR Macedonia00000
3Scotland00000
4Slovenia00000
1Northern Ireland00000
2Ukraine00000
3Hungary00000
4Georgia00000
1Austria100+23W
2Kosovo100+13W
3Rep. Of Ireland001-10L
4Israel001-20L
1Sweden00000
2Poland00000
3Romania00000
4Bosnia & Herzegovina00000
1Albania00000
2Belarus00000
3San Marino00000
4Finland00000
1Armenia00000
2Latvia00000
3Montenegro00000
4Cyprus00000
1Slovakia00000
2Moldova00000
3Faroe Islands00000
4Kazakhstan00000
1Estonia00000
2Iceland00000
3Bulgaria00000
4Luxembourg00000
1Luxembourg00000
2Cyprus00000
3Kazakhstan00000
4Finland00000
1Malta100+13W
2Gibraltar00000
3Andorra001-10L
1Lithuania100+23W
2Azerbaijan00000
3Liechtenstein001-20L
Team Sheet
Croatia4-3-3 · 👔 S. Bilić
1Livaković
14Perišić
4Gvardiol
3Pongračić
2Smolčić
8Kovačić
6Šutalo
22Mišić
19Pasalic
20Beljo
17Sučić
23Simón
22Cucurella
2Huijsen
5Paredes
12Pubill
9Fermín
18Zubimendi
8Ruiz
15Baena
21Oyarzabal
19Yamal
Spain4-3-3 · 👔 Luis de la Fuente
Match Events
Lamine Yamalassist Alejandro Baena Rodríguez⚽
2'
⚽Dion Drena Beljoassist Ivan Perišić
28'
Marc Pubillassist Lamine Yamal⚽
31'
Lamine Yamalassist Pedri⚽
63'
Nico Williamsassist Mikel Merino⚽
89'
How the Match Went
SpainSpain
CroatiaCroatia
64%
Possession
36%
16
Shots
5
7
Shots on target
2
6
Corners
2
9
Fouls
10
1
Yellow cards
4
5
Offsides
0