Scotland vs Switzerland — Tips & Analysis

Scotland +0.75: Scotland do not get beaten heavily, and that is the heart of this pick. They have lost by 2 or more goals in only 2 of their last 14 games. Across that run they have won 8 and tied 2, and they let in just over a goal a game. Switzerland are the better team, but they are not the same side on the road. They have won only 2 of their 6 away games and score just over a goal a game in them. They are also without Granit Xhaka, Breel Embolo and Denis Zakaria this window. Switzerland have been scoring more than their chances deserve lately, and runs like that tend to cool. The one recent meeting between these two ended in a tie. Both teams have had only 3 days rest, so expect a cagey night with few clear chances. A 1-0 Switzerland win is the most likely single score, and that is not enough for us. This needs Scotland to avoid defeat, and a tight game in Glasgow makes that a real chance. The worry is at the other end. Scotland have scored once in their last four games and are without Scott McTominay, Che Adams and Lawrence Shankland. Switzerland have also won by 2 or more in 7 of their last 13, so the safety net is thinner than it looks. We still want Scotland to stay in this one.