Ghana vs Gambia — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Ghana's last three home wins were all 1-0, and that pattern is the case for this pick. They have won all four home games in this run without letting a goal in, and they let in under a goal a game overall. The attack is the thin part. Mohammed Kudus, Antoine Semenyo and captain Alexander Djiku are all missing, so Ghana are short of the players who turn tight games into comfortable ones. Gambia travel well and arrive in good form, with 3 wins, 2 ties and 2 losses in their last seven away games. They let in under a goal a game on the road. Their attack is short-handed too, with Yankuba Minteh, Musa Barrow, Abdoulie Manneh and Adama Sidibeh all out. Two careful defences and two patched-up attacks point one way. Only 5 of Ghana's last 12 games had 3 or more goals in them, and Ghana's games have just over 2 goals in total on average. A 1-0 Ghana win looks the most likely result, decided by one moment on a nervy Accra night. The risk is that Ghana lost the group opener 0-2 and need this badly. If they are still level late, they will push bodies forward and the game could open up. We still want the quiet game here.