Sweden vs Poland — Tips & Analysis

Poland +0.5: Sweden are falling apart at the wrong time. Alexander Isak and Hjalmar Ekdal are out for the rest of this window, and Emil Holm has left the squad. Svanberg, Taha Ali and Nilsson all pulled out before the Romania game. That win over Romania flattered them too. They have created very little over their last four games and let in more than a goal a game doing it. Sweden have won just 5 of their last 14, and they have won by 2 or more goals only 3 times in that run. Poland are the steadier side right now. They are unbeaten in four of their last five and kept a clean sheet in the 0-0 with Bosnia. They defend in a proper shape and they will happily take a point from a trip like this. Expect a scrappier, tighter game than the recent 3-2 meetings between these two suggest. Sweden will push at home and probably get a goal, but Poland look organised enough to answer it. A 1-1 is the likeliest finish, and that suits us fine. The catch is that Sweden are a different team at home, with 4 wins from 7 there and more than 2 goals a game scored. Poland also lose Jakub Kamiński to an adductor problem, which unsettles their front line again. Poland are still the side we want.