Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.25: Romania's games rarely stay quiet. They have had 3 or more goals in 10 of their last 14, and their games average just over 3 goals in total. At the Arena Națională they have won 5 of their last 6 and scored almost 3 goals a game. Bosnia are not built to shut that down for 90 minutes. They let in more than a goal a game, and a little more on the road, where they have won 2, tied 5 and lost 2. The history helps as well. Bosnia have scored in all four recent meetings with Romania, including a 3-1 win and a 1-0 win in Bucharest, and those games averaged almost 3 goals. Romania need points badly. They are bottom of the group with nothing from the Sweden trip, so they have to come forward. That is how a game opens up. The oddity is the stadium, because this one is played behind closed doors with nobody in the stands. It takes the noise out of the night, but it does not change the shape of the game. A 2-1 to Romania is the likeliest finish, and that is three goals. Be honest about the risk. Bosnia have made almost nothing in front of goal lately and tied 0-0 in Poland in their opener. If they sit in and Romania grind out a 1-0, this is dead. We still expect goals.