Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone — Tips & Analysis

Sierra Leone +0.5: Neither team is at home here. The game is at Stade Ahmadou Ahidjo in Yaounde, with Equatorial Guinea moved out of Malabo, so nobody gets a crowd behind them. On neutral ground the better team usually shows, and that is Sierra Leone. They are hard to beat when they travel. They have tied five of their last nine games away from home and lost only three of them. Across their last 18 games they have been beaten by 2 or more goals just twice, so heavy defeats are not their habit. Equatorial Guinea are going the other way. They barely score, at under a goal a game, and they have lost their last four. They also lost their opener 2-0 in Kinshasa, which is a fair picture of where they are. Both sides need points after losing on matchday one, and neither carries much threat going forward. That usually gives you a tight game decided by one moment. A 1-1 tie looks the likeliest finish, and that is enough for our side of it. The honest worry is the one time these two have met. Equatorial Guinea won it 1-0 at the 2022 Africa Cup of Nations, so they know they can live with this opponent. Sierra Leone also let in three goals against Zimbabwe in their opener, so this back line can be got at. We are still happy to be with Sierra Leone.