Belgium vs France — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.25: Both of these squads are missing too much to serve up a goal rush. France have lost Mbappé to a knee problem, and Saliba, Konaté and four more players are out too. Belgium are short as well. De Bruyne has asked for a rest, Doku is hurt and Trossard has a heel problem. Belgium's scoring numbers look huge, but they are built on a 7-0 against Liechtenstein and a 5-1 against New Zealand. Take those out and this is a side making far fewer chances than the scorelines suggest. At home in Brussels they have gone eight games unbeaten, 5 wins and 3 ties, letting in under a goal a game. France are just as tight on the road. They have won 6 of their last 7 away games and let in under a goal a game doing it. The history says the same. France have won all five recent meetings, and those games averaged just over 2 goals in total. Both teams are on three days' rest after away wins, so expect changes and a slower tempo. A 2-1 to Belgium is the likeliest finish, and that keeps us on the right side. The worry is that both sides do have goals in them. Belgium have had 3 or more goals in 10 of their last 16 games. We still want the quieter night here.