Yemen vs Qatar — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.25: Qatar have stopped scoring. They have managed less than a goal a game across their last 11, and they have won by 2 or more goals in only 1 of them. A team that cannot put games away does not produce high-scoring nights. Qatar have won 3, tied 3 and lost 5 of those 11, and their games carry more than 2 goals in total on average. They did beat Bahrain 2-0 to open this tournament, so they are the better side here, but they win small. Yemen are the ones who have to survive. They have won 6, tied 5 and lost 6 of their last 17, and they let in more than a goal a game. Their scoring record looks healthy, but it is padded by big wins over Brunei and Bhutan. Against a real team they lost 0-4 to UAE on matchday one. This one is in Jeddah on neutral ground, so neither side is hosting. Both squads played 3 days ago, and Yemen know defeat probably ends their tournament. Expect them to sit deep and make it ugly. A 0-1 Qatar win is the most likely ending, and that is a comfortable night for this pick. The one worry is history. The only two meetings between them were 0-6 and 0-4 Qatar wins. Those came in 2017 and 2019 when Qatar were Asian champions, and this Qatar side does not win big any more. We are happy with the low-scoring read.