Norway vs Portugal — Tips & Analysis

Over 3: Norway games are busy. 13 of their last 14 have had 3 or more goals, and every one of their last ten produced at least three. That habit is hard to ignore. Norway score just over 3 goals a game and have won 12 of their last 14, with Haaland scoring twice in the 3-2 win over Denmark. They also never tie. Not one of those 14 games finished level, so someone always pushes for a winner. Portugal will not sit back either. They score more than 2 goals a game and 9 of their last 16 games had 3 or more goals. Both teams won their openers and this game shapes the group, so neither can play for a point. Here is the honest part. A 2-1 Norway win is the most likely single score, and that leaves us just short. We need one more goal, and this game offers plenty of ways to find it, with Portugal chasing late the clearest of them. The risks are real. Norway are without Alexander Sorloth, and their biggest scores came against weaker teams like Israel, Estonia and Iraq. Portugal let in only a goal a game and are the better organised side, a long way from the defences Norway put those big scores past. Norway have also been scoring more than their chances deserve. We still want the busy game here.