Eibar vs Las Palmas — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Eibar have been scoring more than the chances they make deserve, and that is the main reason we want few goals here. Over their last four games they created less than they scored, so the five game winning run flatters them a little. Eibar's real strength is at the back. They let in under a goal a game and have 10 wins from their last 15. They have won by 2 or more goals in 5 of their last 15, and those margins should shrink. Las Palmas could hurt this pick, but they are in no shape to. They score just over a goal a game and arrive with six players hurt, including Sergio Ruiz and Marvin. There is no natural left back left in the squad. A patched up team chasing a game late does not create much. The last 12 meetings between these two averaged just over 2 goals, and less than half of them were high scoring. A grinding 1-0 Eibar win is the likeliest result, and one goal is nowhere near enough to hurt us. The risk is that Eibar keep finishing well. They score 2 goals a game at home, and 10 of their last 15 games had 3 or more goals in them. Las Palmas let in almost 2 goals a game on the road, including a 2-5 loss at Girona. Even so, the missing players and the tight history of this matchup keep us on a low scoring night.