Burgos vs Eldense — Tips & Analysis

Eldense +0.75: Eldense have a real hold on this matchup, and that is the case for backing them. They have won three of the last five meetings, and two of those wins came at Burgos. The other thing in our favour is how Burgos win. They are unbeaten in their last seven home games, with 4 wins and 3 ties. Even so, they have won by 2 or more goals only twice in their last 15. They score just over a goal a game and let in under a goal a game. This is a team that grinds out 1-0s, not one that runs anybody over. Burgos are also missing Lizancos and Sergio through injury, plus two players away on call ups. Eldense arrive with no injuries and no doubts. Their away form is the poor part. They have 2 wins, 1 tie and 4 losses on the road and have scored one goal in three away league games this season. These games are always tight. The last five meetings produced under 2 goals a game between them. Our honest read is a 1-0 Burgos win, which is not the result this pick wants. It needs Eldense to come away with something, a tie or better, and their record in this matchup says they can do it. Burgos at home are hard to beat, so there is a clear hurdle here. We are taking Eldense because they keep turning up in this game.