Tenerife vs Cadiz — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.25: Games between these two are always a grind. The last 14 meetings have produced just over 2 goals a game, and only 4 of those 14 had 3 or more goals in them. Tenerife are a big reason why. They have won 5, tied 1 and lost 1 of their last seven home games, and they barely let anything in at the Heliodoro. They have already beaten Almeria 1-0 and Leganes 2-0 there this season. Cadiz are not the side to break the pattern. They sit 19th with three points from six games, they have won once in their last 12, and they have lost their last three. They tie constantly, five times in those 12 games and in three of their five away trips. They are also without four players through injury and two more away with their countries. So the shape is easy to picture. Tenerife keep the ball, Cadiz sit in and try to stay in it, and one goal decides the night. A 1-0 home win is the likely result, with Cadiz pushing late and running out of ideas. The catch is that Cadiz games have been busier than this read allows. They score more than a goal a game on the road, losing 2-3 at Almeria and tying 2-2 at Eldense. On top of that, 7 of their last 12 games had 3 or more goals. We still want the tight, low-scoring game.