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South Africa vs Guinea — Tips & Analysis

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
South Africa
South Africa
LWDLD
2-1
Sat 26 Sept, 20:00 ICT
Guinea
Guinea
LLDDW
📍 Orlando Stadium
⭐ Our Pick
Over/Under✅ Won
Over 1.75@1.72
Confidence54%
18+ · T&Cs apply
Why we like this pick
Over 1.75: Both of these sides have enough quality up front to find a goal, and neither back line looks strong enough to stop one. South Africa are the shakier of the two. They let in a goal a game and have taken just one win from their last five. Pitso Mosimane is back in charge for the first time, with five uncapped players in a 30 man squad. Mbokazi, Mudau, Mbatha and Makgopa are all injured. A new coach and a patched up defense is not a recipe for a clean sheet. Guinea bring real quality with Serhou Guirassy, Ilaix Moriba and Saidou Sow in camp. They score more than a goal a game away from home, where they have won 4 of their 6 trips. Guinea have had 3 or more goals in 6 of their last 11 games. They have not played a competitive game in 347 days, so loose moments at both ends look likely early on. A 1-1 is the most likely score, both sides landing one punch and neither finding a second. The risk is plain. The two previous meetings between them finished 2-1 and 0-0, so this pairing can be tight. Guinea's long layoff could also mean a slow, cagey opening. We still want the goals at both ends here.
Recent Form
South Africa1W 4D 3L
L0-1vs Canada (H)28 Jun 26World Cup
W1-0vs South Korea (H)25 Jun 26World Cup
D1-1vs Czechia (A)18 Jun 26World Cup
L0-2vs Mexico (A)11 Jun 26World Cup
D1-1vs Jamaica (A)6 Jun 26Friendlies
D0-0vs Nicaragua (H)29 May 26Friendlies
L1-2vs Panama (H)31 Mar 26Friendlies
D1-1vs Panama (H)27 Mar 26Friendlies
Guinea2W 4D 2L
L0-1vs Northern Ireland (A)4 Jun 26Friendlies
L0-1vs Benin (H)31 Mar 26Friendlies
D2-2vs Togo (H)27 Mar 26Friendlies
D1-1vs Niger (H)18 Nov 25Friendlies
W2-0vs Liberia (H)15 Nov 25Friendlies
D2-2vs Botswana (H)14 Oct 25World Cup - Qualification Africa
W2-1vs Mozambique (A)9 Oct 25World Cup - Qualification Africa
D0-0vs Algeria (H)8 Sept 25World Cup - Qualification Africa
Form Stats
South AfricaSouth Africa
GuineaGuinea
0.63
Avg scored
1.13
1.00
Avg conceded
1.00
13%
Over 2.5
38%
50%
Both score
50%
25%
Clean sheet
25%
38%
Failed to score
38%
Head-to-Head
South Africa
2 - 1
Guinea
11 Aug 2025 · African Nations Championship
South Africa
0 - 0
Guinea
25 Mar 2022 · Friendlies
Match Events
Ime Okonassist Sphephelo Sithole⚽
30'
⚽Seydouba Cisse
69'
Samukele Kabiniassist Yanela Mbuthuma⚽
77'
How the Match Went
South AfricaSouth Africa
GuineaGuinea
56%
Possession
44%
22
Shots
11
5
Shots on target
2
5
Corners
4
18
Fouls
17
2
Yellow cards
1
1
Offsides
1