Kenya vs Eritrea — Tips & Analysis

Kenya -1.25: Kenya are a clear level above Eritrea, and they have the back line to make this a one way night. Kenya have won 6 of their last 11 games and let in less than a goal a game. They kept clean sheets in wins over Burundi, Zambia and Morocco. Michael Olunga is back as captain to lead the attack. Eritrea have won 3 and lost 5 of their last 8 games. Their only competitive wins in this run came against Eswatini, and Ethiopia beat them 0-3 twice. They let in more than a goal a game and have lost by 2 or more in 3 of their last 8. Kenya play this at Nyayo National Stadium in Nairobi with their own crowd behind them. Eritrea have played very little competitive football since returning to the international game, and that lack of match practice should tell late on. A 2-0 Kenya win is the likely shape, a first half breakthrough and a second goal once Eritrea tire. The honest worry is the margin. Kenya have won by 2 or more in just 2 of their last 11 games, so they do not often run away with them. Benni McCarthy's side are already at the 2027 finals as co-hosts, so he may use this to look at new players. We still think the class gap tells and Kenya win by two.