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Iceland vs Estonia — Tips & Analysis

UEFA Nations League
Iceland
Iceland
LLDDL
2nd in UNL
1-1
Sat 26 Sept, 23:00 ICT
Estonia
Estonia
WWLDW
1st in UNL
⭐ Our Pick
Over/Under❌ Lost
Over 2.75@1.78
Confidence56%
18+ · T&Cs apply
Why we like this pick
Over 2.75: Iceland do not do quiet games. Their last 13 games have produced 4 goals a game on average, and 10 of those 13 had 3 or more goals in them. At home they score more than 2 a game and let in more than 2. They have beaten Azerbaijan 5-0, tied 2-2 with France, lost 3-5 to Ukraine and lost 1-3 to Kosovo there. Their first choice keeper is out after surgery, so an untested one starts behind a defence that already leaks. Estonia are the reason for the caution and part of the case at the same time. Their attack has been gutted, with Rauno Sappinen, Vladislav Kreida and Henri Anier all out. They score less than a goal a game and have won once in their last nine away trips. They also get beaten heavily, losing by 2 or more in 7 of their last 18. Iceland will camp in the Estonia half. This Iceland side still rarely keeps a clean sheet. A 2-1 Iceland win is the honest read, and we want this game busy, with three goals at the very least and a fourth no shock. The worry is a deep, stubborn Estonia. They won their last two 1-0, shutting out Lithuania and the Faroe Islands. We still want the busy game at Laugardalsvollur.
Recent Form
Iceland1W 3D 4L
L0-3vs Argentina (A)10 Jun 26Friendlies
L0-1vs Japan (A)31 May 26Friendlies
D1-1vs Haiti (A)31 Mar 26Friendlies
D2-2vs Canada (A)28 Mar 26Friendlies
L0-4vs Mexico (A)26 Feb 26Friendlies
L0-2vs Ukraine (A)16 Nov 25World Cup - Qualification Europe
W2-0vs Azerbaijan (A)13 Nov 25World Cup - Qualification Europe
D2-2vs France (H)13 Oct 25World Cup - Qualification Europe
Estonia3W 2D 3L
W1-0vs Lithuania (H)9 Jun 26Baltic Cup
W1-0vs Faroe Islands (H)6 Jun 26Baltic Cup
L0-2vs Rwanda (A)30 Mar 26FIFA Series
D1-1vs Kenya (A)27 Mar 26FIFA Series
W4-2vs Cyprus (A)18 Nov 25Friendlies
L1-4vs Norway (A)13 Nov 25World Cup - Qualification Europe
D1-1vs Moldova (H)14 Oct 25World Cup - Qualification Europe
L1-3vs Italy (H)11 Oct 25World Cup - Qualification Europe
Form Stats
IcelandIceland
EstoniaEstonia
0.88
Avg scored
1.25
1.88
Avg conceded
1.63
50%
Over 2.5
38%
38%
Both score
63%
13%
Clean sheet
25%
50%
Failed to score
13%
Head-to-Head
Iceland
1 - 1
Estonia
8 Jan 2023 · Friendlies
UEFA Nations League Standings
#TeamWDLGDPTSForm
1France00000
2Türkiye00000
3Italy00000
4Belgium00000
1Greece100+13W
2Germany01001D
3Netherlands01001D
4Serbia001-10L
1Czechia00000
2Croatia00000
3Spain00000
4England00000
1Norway100+13W
2Portugal100+13W
3Denmark001-10L
4Wales001-10L
1Switzerland00000
2FYR Macedonia00000
3Scotland00000
4Slovenia00000
1Northern Ireland00000
2Ukraine00000
3Hungary00000
4Georgia00000
1Austria100+23W
2Kosovo100+13W
3Rep. Of Ireland001-10L
4Israel001-20L
1Sweden00000
2Poland00000
3Romania00000
4Bosnia & Herzegovina00000
1Albania00000
2Belarus00000
3San Marino00000
4Finland00000
1Armenia00000
2Latvia00000
3Montenegro00000
4Cyprus00000
1Slovakia00000
2Moldova00000
3Faroe Islands00000
4Kazakhstan00000
1Estonia00000
2Iceland00000
3Bulgaria00000
4Luxembourg00000
1Luxembourg00000
2Cyprus00000
3Kazakhstan00000
4Finland00000
1Malta100+13W
2Gibraltar00000
3Andorra001-10L
1Lithuania100+23W
2Azerbaijan00000
3Liechtenstein001-20L
Team Sheet
Estonia5-4-1 · 👔 J. Henn
1Hein
19Schjønning-Larsen
18Mets
2Kuusk
6Peetson
3Paskotši
11Ainsalu
20Poom
10Palumets
4Käit
9Mustmaa
12Valdimarsson
19Ellertsson
3Grétarsson
16Þórðarson
4Pálsson
8Jóhannesson
7Haraldsson
11Guðmundsson
22Guðjohnsen
9Óskarsson
20Þorsteinsson
Iceland4-3-3 · 👔 A. Gunnlaugsson
Match Events
Andri Guðjohnsenassist Hákon Arnar Haraldsson⚽
45'
⚽Kevor Palumets
52'
⚽Maksim Paskotsiassist Rasmus Peetson
64'
How the Match Went
IcelandIceland
EstoniaEstonia
63%
Possession
37%
19
Shots
8
8
Shots on target
5
7
Corners
3
13
Fouls
13
1
Yellow cards
2
3
Offsides
0