England vs Spain — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Both these teams score, and this matchup keeps giving us goals. The last three meetings between England and Spain all had three goals or more: 1-2, 3-2 and 1-2. England have been great fun this year. They have won 12 of their last 14 games and score more than 2 goals a game. Eight of those 14 games had three goals or more. Their wins have been loose as well as loud, by 6-4, 3-2 and 2-1. Spain are the world champions and they attack like it. They have won 12 and tied 3 of their last 15 games without losing once, and they score more than 2 goals a game too. Nine of those 15 games had three goals or more. England are missing Declan Rice and Kobbie Mainoo from midfield, which is exactly where this game gets decided. That should let Spain through the middle more often than they normally would. A 1-2 Spain win is the likeliest finish, and that gives us the goals we want. The catch is Spain's defense. They have let in just 5 goals across that 15 game run, and once they lead they can keep the ball and shut the game down. A 1-0 either way is well within range. England leak enough at the back, though, so we are staying on goals.