Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Sabadell have not scored in a single away league game this season. They tied 0-0 at Sporting Gijon, tied 0-0 at Castellon and lost 0-2 at Mallorca. On the road they score less than a goal a game and have won once in seven trips. Celta Fortuna are in no state to blow the game open either. They are missing seven players, including Bernard Somuah after ankle surgery and Stefan Bajcetic, who is not ready yet. Three of those seven are away with their countries, so the shape of their attack is guesswork. Sabadell are the tidier side and are happy to sit deep, which is how they got those two goalless ties. They let in 1 goal a game, and 8 of their last 13 games ended on 2 goals or fewer. They are short too, missing four of their own, including Nicholas Gioacchini with a bad knee injury. Both teams played 6 days ago, so this is simply two thin squads who do not want to lose. A 1-0 home win is the likely shape, decided by a set piece or a substitute rather than a flow of chances. The risk is that Celta Fortuna's own games have not been quiet. Nine of their last 18 games had 3 or more goals, and Eibar put four past them at home. We still expect a slow game with few clear chances.