Bulgaria vs Luxembourg — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.25: These two give each other nothing when they meet. The last four games between them finished 1-0, 0-0, 0-0 and 1-1. Bulgaria have not lost to Luxembourg in the last 5 meetings. Bulgaria's goal numbers are flattered by a 10-2 win over the Solomon Islands, which tells us nothing about a night like this. At home they score less than a goal a game. Luxembourg are worse again on the road, scoring less than a goal a game across their last seven trips. Only 4 of Luxembourg's last 14 games had 3 or more goals in them. They kept clean sheets in both legs of their playoff win over Malta, so they can defend when they want to. This is the first game of a new group for two of Europe's weakest teams, and neither will take many risks. A 1-0 Bulgaria win is the obvious repeat, one goal deciding a poor game. The one real worry is Bulgaria's own defending. They let in almost 2 goals a game and have lost by 2 or more in 6 of their last 16 games. An early Luxembourg goal could open this up more than it looks now. Everything about the way these two play still points to a quiet, low scoring night.