Türkiye vs France — Tips & Analysis

Türkiye +1.5: Türkiye do not get beaten heavily. They have lost by 2 or more goals in only 3 of their last 16 games, and that is the whole case for giving them a head start. Türkiye have won 10 of those 16 and score more than 2 goals a game. They carry a real threat of their own in front of their own crowd. France are the better team and nobody is arguing with that. They have won 12 of their last 16 and score almost 3 goals a game. The problem for them is the back line. William Saliba, Ibrahima Konate and Aurelien Tchouameni are all out, so Zinedine Zidane picks a patched-up side in his first competitive game in charge. Kylian Mbappe also missed training this week feeling unwell. First nights under a new manager are usually careful ones. Türkiye have not lost either of the last two meetings, a 1-1 tie and a 2-0 win, and those games averaged 2 goals. We read this as a 1-2 France win, with Türkiye scoring and staying within a goal, and that keeps the head start safe. The honest worry is what France can do when they click. They have won by 2 or more goals in 10 of their last 16 games, so one early goal could turn this into a comfortable night for them. We are still happy to take Türkiye with the start.