Sweden vs Romania — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: Both teams come into this with holes at the back, and that is the main reason we want goals. Sweden are without centre-backs Isak Hien and Gustaf Lagerbielke, so a new pairing has to hold Romania off on opening night. Romania are missing Rus and Coman at the back themselves. Sweden score almost 2 goals a game and let in almost 2, and 9 of their last 14 games had 3 or more goals in them. They also keep Viktor Gyokeres and Alexander Isak together up front, which is as much firepower as anyone in this group. Romania have won 9 of their last 14 and score more than 2 goals a game, and 10 of those 14 games had 3 or more goals. Romania have not played a competitive game in 183 days. Expect them to sit deep and stay tight early, then get stretched as legs go. We read this 2-1 to Sweden, so a third goal is the least this needs, and a fourth would make it comfortable. The warning here is real. The last three meetings between these two averaged only 2 goals, and Sweden's attack has been cold across their last four games. We still want the busier game in Stockholm.