Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.25: Both of these teams have been in busy games all year, and that is the simplest reason to back goals. Poland have had 3 or more goals in 10 of their last 16 games, and their games have averaged just over 3 goals in total. They score more than a goal a game and let in about the same, so they rarely keep a night quiet at either end. Robert Lewandowski leads a side that has won four of its last eight competitive home games. Bosnia give goals up on the road. They let in 2 goals a game away from home. They are also without defender Amar Dedic and midfielder Kenan Busuladzic, so fresh faces come into their back line. Bosnia still carry a threat, with Edin Dzeko starting a farewell autumn and Ermedin Demirovic alongside him. Poland come back to competitive football still hurting from the March play-off loss in Sweden that cost them a World Cup place. Their recent games have been open, including that 2-3 in Sweden and a 2-2 with Nigeria. A 2-1 Poland win looks the likeliest end, and three goals clears this. The catch is Bosnia's attack. They have made very little in their last four games and still scored five, so their goals have come from finishing rather than chances. If they sit deep and Poland labour, a 1-0 kills it. We are still on the busier game.