Mozambique vs Senegal — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: These two do not produce goals against each other. Three of the last four meetings finished 0-1, 1-1 and 0-1. That history is the strongest reason we want the low-scoring game. Mozambique score less than a goal a game and have lost 9 of their last 15. They have also not played a competitive game in 263 days. A team in that spot sits deep and tries to keep the score down, and that is what they will do here. Senegal are the class side. They have won 9 of their last 14 and score more than 2 goals a game. Their problem is timing. They are without Sadio Mane, Habib Diarra and Antoine Mendy, and Patrick Vieira takes his first competitive game in charge. New coaches and new front lines rarely click straight away. So the shape of this one looks clear. Senegal keep the ball, Mozambique defend their box, and the goals come slowly. A 0-2 Senegal win is the most likely score, and that lands this pick. There is a real worry on the other side. Senegal have had 3 or more goals in 11 of their last 14 games, and Mozambique let in 2 goals a game. If Senegal go 2-0 up early, a third can follow. We still want the lower-scoring game here.