Sierra Leone vs Zimbabwe — Tips & Analysis

Under 2: Zimbabwe barely score. They have managed under a goal a game across their last 11 games, and eight of their last ten ended with them scoring one or none. They have won once in those 11 and have no win in their last five. Sierra Leone are a little better but not much. They score just over a goal a game, and 10 of their last 17 games finished with 2 goals or fewer. They have also tied 6 of those 17, which tells you how often their games stay locked. This is the first ever meeting between the two and it is on neutral ground in Morocco, so neither side gets a crowd behind them. Neither side has played in months. Sierra Leone have waited 178 days and Zimbabwe 269. Rusty teams start slowly and keep things tight, and everything here points to a cagey night decided by one moment. A 1-0 win for Sierra Leone is the likely story, and that sits well inside what we want. The risk is that there is no history between them to lean on, so a surprise is harder to rule out. Both squads have handed call ups to uncapped players, and one early goal could stretch a game nobody expects to open up. We are still happy taking the quiet game.