Serbia vs Greece — Tips & Analysis

Greece +-0: Serbia have lost the players who score their goals. Dusan Vlahovic and Aleksandar Mitrovic are both out, and so are centre-back Nikola Milenkovic and goalkeeper Predrag Rajkovic. That is a huge hole for a side that already struggles in front of goal. Serbia score a goal a game across their last 15 and have won only 6 of them. Their last five results read win, loss, win, loss, loss. Greece are the better team here even in Belgrade. They score almost 2 goals a game and have won 8 of their last 14. Neither side has kicked a ball in a competitive game since November. Serbia have waited 312 days and Greece 310. Expect a slow, scrappy opening night with few clear chances and plenty of loose passing. A single goal should decide it, and we think Greece are the side to get it. A 0-1 away win is our read and that is exactly what we want. The worry is that Greece are patchy too. They have taken one win from their last five, with 1-3 and 0-3 beatings by Denmark and a 1-3 loss to Scotland. They are also missing Lazaros Rota, Dimitris Giannoulis and Giannis Konstantelias, so this is no stroll. Even so, Serbia without their forwards look the weaker side, and we are with Greece.