Portugal vs Wales — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: Both of these teams turn up in busy games. Portugal have had 3 or more goals in 9 of their last 16 games, and Wales in 8 of their last 15. Portugal score more than 2 goals a game and have Cristiano Ronaldo back in the squad with no real injury worries. They also let in just over a goal a game, so they are not a side that shuts the door. Wales arrive in worse shape. They have lost Harry Wilson, Nathan Broadhead and Rubin Colwill from the attack, and Joe Rodon from the back. Against Belgium, the one top side they have faced lately, Wales let in four goals twice. Expect Wales to sit deep and soak up pressure, with Portugal pushing them further and further back in Lisbon. The most likely single score is a 2-0 Portugal win, and on its own that is not enough for us. We need this game to open up, and a third goal is what we are after. Wales have not played a competitive game in 182 days. A rusty defence under that much pressure tends to crack more than once. The worry is a real one. Portugal have won by 2 or more in only 4 of their last 16, and they have been scoring more than their chances deserve. Wales can also keep things tight for long spells. We still want the busier game here.