Cameroon vs Comoros — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Comoros have stopped scoring. They have not found the net in six of their last ten games, with 0-0 ties against Namibia, Mali and Zambia in that run. They score under a goal a game and have won just 2 of their last 14. Cameroon are the better side but they are not a team that runs up big scores. They score just over a goal a game and let in under one, and 12 of their last 18 games had 2 goals or fewer. Not one of those 18 games had more than 4 goals in it. Bryan Mbeumo joins a rebuilt squad and should help, but one man does not change a whole team's habits overnight. Cameroon will have the ball for most of the night in Garoua and Comoros will sit deep and defend. That is the shape of a slow game, not an open one. A 1-0 home win is the likely story, and one goal sits comfortably inside what we want. The warning is the head to head. The last three meetings between them averaged almost 3 goals, including a 2-1 and a 1-1. Cameroon also have a new coach in David Pagou with several players in line for debuts, so the shape is unproven. An early goal could stretch this. We still expect a tight, low scoring night.