Kyoto Sanga vs Fujieda MYFC — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: Kyoto cannot put teams away, and that is the heart of this one. They score just a goal a game and have not won by 2 or more in any of their last 19. Kyoto have won only 5 of those 19 games. They needed a 1-0 to see off amateur side Maruyasu Okazaki in the last round, which tells you where they are. Fujieda arrive in better shape and they do not get dragged into open games. They have won 7 and tied 7 of their last 18 and let in about a goal a game. Eleven of those 18 games finished with 2 goals or fewer. Neither side turns matches into shootouts. A 1-1 is the read here, a scrappy, low grade game that Kyoto cannot finish off. There is a knockout angle too. A tie after ninety minutes means extra time, so both teams have a reason to be careful late rather than throw bodies forward. The warning is Kyoto's defending. They let in more than 2 goals a game at their own ground, which is their worst record anywhere. Fujieda also scored five at Montedio Yamagata in the last round, so they are not short of a goal when a game opens up. We still expect a quiet afternoon.