Pakhtakor II vs Shortan — Tips & Analysis

Under 3: Neither team here looks likely to fill a game with goals. Pakhtakor II have won 3, tied 1 and lost 15 of their last 19 games. They score less than a goal a game and have managed 13 goals all season. A side that cannot score keeps the total down, even on the nights it loses. Shortan are the better side by a distance. They have won 12 of their last 20 and sit third, still chasing promotion. On the road they take 2 goals a game. Across the season they let in just over a goal a game. How Shortan win matters just as much. They have won by 2 or more goals in only 5 of their last 20 games, and seven of their wins came by a single goal. They go in front and then manage the game rather than chase more. Only 4 of Pakhtakor II's 19 games have produced four or more goals. The one meeting between these two had 2 goals in it. A 0-2 Shortan win is the most likely score, and a game like that stays quiet enough for us. The worry is Pakhtakor II themselves. They are a reserve side, their team changes week to week, and they have already lost 1-5 this season. A big win like that is the one shape that beats us. We still want the quieter game.