Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P. — Tips & Analysis

Under 2: Lanus have made their own ground a hard place to score. They let in less than a goal a game at home, where they have won five, tied three and lost two. Lanus do not give much at the other end either. They score under a goal a game across the season. Their last two wins, 3-0 at Deportivo Riestra and 1-0 against Defensa y Justicia, are the exception rather than the rule. Estudiantes are the bigger name, and they knocked Corinthians out in Brazil to reach the Copa Libertadores semi-finals. That is the problem for them here. They come in on five days' rest against Lanus' eight, with the semi-final still ahead. Away from home they struggle to score anyway, managing under a goal a game, winning three, tying one and losing five. The history says the same thing. The last 13 meetings produced six ties between these two, and only about a third of them reached 3 goals. A 0-0 is the most likely single score, and almost any tight night lands this. The risk sits with Lanus. They have won their last two and will want a third. If Estudiantes name a full side, they can win by 2, as they have done six times in their last 20. We still want the low-scoring game.